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Should I start J.K. Dobbins or A.J. Brown in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 10:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)
  • : A.J. Brown: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start A.J. Brown: 68 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against J.K. Dobbins's 32 percent of the snaps and 41 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop A.J. Brown for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB49 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 3-5

Market-based projection
8.3 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
140

WR52 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
141

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on J.K. Dobbins, and the board ranks him 140th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 141st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

The market-based projections

The market has J.K. Dobbins at 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has A.J. Brown at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

J.K. Dobbins's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, J.K. Dobbins has been on the field for 38 percent of DEN snaps, taken 50 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 8 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against SEA he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against ARI he carried 6 times for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against KC he carried 7 times for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 68 percent of NE snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 7 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 J.K. Dobbins played 10 games and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He carried 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 more yards.

That came to 15.3 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 1.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and J.K. Dobbins 11.6, 3.1 a game between them.

J.K. Dobbins finished RB43 and A.J. Brown WR11, which are two different ladders.

J.K. Dobbins is a running back and A.J. Brown a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

J.K. Dobbins is off in Week 10 and A.J. Brown in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for J.K. Dobbins?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for A.J. Brown?

    No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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