Should I start A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 7?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 19th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 3.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 85 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 3 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 2.3 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Tetairoa McMillan WR16.

Tetairoa McMillan had 1 more targets than A.J. Brown, 122 to 121.

Tetairoa McMillan had 11 more receiving yards than A.J. Brown, 1014 to 1003.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 60 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Tetairoa McMillan has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.