Should I start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Christian Watson in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Amon-Ra St. Brown's market-based projection is 18.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Christian Watson's market-based projection is 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 11th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Amon-Ra St. Brown, and the board ranks him 3rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 11.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 9th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been on the field for 87 percent of DET snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 22 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 5 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 68 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against CAR he caught 8 of 11 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ARI he caught 6 of 11 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against GB he carried 1 time for -1 yards, caught 9 of 11 targets for 153 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Christian Watson has been on the field for 81 percent of GB snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 77 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 56 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against DAL he caught 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DET he caught 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets.

That came to 10.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 12.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Christian Watson 13.2, 5.8 a game between them.

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished WR3 that year and Christian Watson WR46.

Amon-Ra St. Brown had 117 more targets than Christian Watson, 172 to 55.

Amon-Ra St. Brown had 790 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 1401 to 611.

This season Amon-Ra St. Brown holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 81 percent.

This season Amon-Ra St. Brown holds the bigger target share, 31 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Amon-Ra St. Brown is off in Week 6 and Christian Watson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

3.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.