Should I start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Amon-Ra St. Brown's market-based projection is 18.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 9th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Amon-Ra St. Brown, and the board ranks him 3rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 11.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been on the field for 87 percent of DET snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 22 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 5 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 68 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against CAR he caught 8 of 11 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ARI he caught 6 of 11 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against GB he carried 1 time for -1 yards, caught 9 of 11 targets for 153 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 82 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 54 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets.

That came to 10.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 12.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 6.6 a game between them.

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished WR3 that year and Tetairoa McMillan WR16.

Amon-Ra St. Brown had 50 more targets than Tetairoa McMillan, 172 to 122.

Amon-Ra St. Brown had 387 more receiving yards than Tetairoa McMillan, 1401 to 1014.

This season Amon-Ra St. Brown holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 82 percent.

This season Amon-Ra St. Brown holds the bigger target share, 31 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Amon-Ra St. Brown is off in Week 6 and Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

2.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.