Skip to main content

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Drew Lock in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 3:31 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Coach: Seahawks QB Sam Darnold ruled out with quad injury, is week-to-week (ESPN)
  • : Sam Darnold: Listed Out (Quadriceps) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Drew Lock: Questionable to Out (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
15.9
fantasy pts
CHI D vs QB
19.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
18 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · SEA · vs ARI · Questionable

Market projects
13.3
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
36 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 2
Start Mayfield or Lock? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Baker Mayfield over Drew Lock in Week 9: 15.9 to 13.4 projected PPR points. Mayfield faces CHI, which allows the 8th most fantasy points to QBs.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB20 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-4

Overall rank
115

QB24 · SEA · bye 11

Market-based projection
15.3 pts a game

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

The gap

  • Board size308 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 15.7 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Drew Lock's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 38th highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.

Baker Mayfield's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and thrown 8.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 134 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against ATL he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 15 yards.

Through Week 2, Drew Lock has been on the field for 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 51 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 16.6 a game between them.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 that year and Drew Lock QB73.

Baker Mayfield had 540 more pass attempts than Drew Lock, 543 to 3.

Baker Mayfield had 3678 more passing yards than Drew Lock, 3693 to 15.

This season Baker Mayfield holds the bigger snap share, 97 percent against 96 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Drew Lock in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Baker Mayfield has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

Next duels