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Should I start J.J. McCarthy or Baker Mayfield in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 5:21 PM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
15.9
fantasy pts
CHI D vs QB
19.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
18 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · NYG · at PHI

Market projects
15.8
fantasy pts
PHI D vs QB
19.3
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
31 of 100 at QB
Snap share
42%
Through Week 7
Start Mayfield or McCarthy? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Baker Mayfield: 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against J.J. McCarthy's 42 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB20 · NYG · bye unlisted

2025 vs pass yds line 4-6

Overall rank
109

QB21 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-4

Overall rank
112

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on J.J. McCarthy, and the board ranks him 109th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

The market-based projections

The market has J.J. McCarthy at 15.9 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 15.7 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

J.J. McCarthy's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, J.J. McCarthy has been on the field for 42 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 49 times and thrown 11.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 49 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 5 against WAS he completed 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 6 against NO he completed 11 of 17 passes for 243 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 26 yards.

In Week 7 against HOU he completed 20 of 27 passes for 252 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and thrown 8.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 134 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against ATL he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 J.J. McCarthy played 10 games and scored 137.4 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB30.

He threw for 1632 yards on 243 attempts with 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 181 yards and 4 touchdowns.

That came to 24.3 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and J.J. McCarthy 13.7, 2.9 a game between them.

J.J. McCarthy finished QB30 that year and Baker Mayfield QB12.

Baker Mayfield had 300 more pass attempts than J.J. McCarthy, 543 to 243.

Baker Mayfield had 2061 more passing yards than J.J. McCarthy, 3693 to 1632.

This season Baker Mayfield holds the bigger snap share, 97 percent against 42 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10. No bye is listed for J.J. McCarthy.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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