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Should I start Bo Nix or J.J. McCarthy in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 5:21 PM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
16.0
fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB
17.4
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · NYG · at PHI

Market projects
15.8
fantasy pts
PHI D vs QB
19.3
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
31 of 100 at QB
Snap share
42%
Through Week 7
Start Nix or McCarthy? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Bo Nix: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against J.J. McCarthy's 42 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB19 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 3-5

Market-based projection
16.0 pts a game

QB20 · NYG · bye unlisted

2025 vs pass yds line 4-6

Overall rank
109

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 107th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on J.J. McCarthy, and the board ranks him 109th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Bo Nix's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 28th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

The market has J.J. McCarthy at 15.9 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

J.J. McCarthy's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 268 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he completed 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 75 yards.

In Week 8 against KC he completed 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Through Week 7, J.J. McCarthy has been on the field for 42 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 49 times and thrown 11.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 49 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 5 against WAS he completed 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 6 against NO he completed 11 of 17 passes for 243 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 26 yards.

In Week 7 against HOU he completed 20 of 27 passes for 252 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 J.J. McCarthy played 10 games and scored 137.4 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB30.

He threw for 1632 yards on 243 attempts with 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 181 yards and 4 touchdowns.

That came to 24.3 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and J.J. McCarthy 13.7, 4.8 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 that year and J.J. McCarthy QB30.

Bo Nix had 369 more pass attempts than J.J. McCarthy, 612 to 243.

Bo Nix had 2299 more passing yards than J.J. McCarthy, 3931 to 1632.

This season Bo Nix holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 42 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10. No bye is listed for J.J. McCarthy.

What would change the answer

J.J. McCarthy has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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