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Should I start Caleb Williams or Bo Nix in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 7:46 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects
18.8
fantasy pts
NE D vs QB
14.6
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
91 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 6
Sit

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
17.6
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.1
4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6
Start Williams or Nix? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Caleb Williams over Bo Nix in Week 7: 18.8 to 17.6 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Bo Nix for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bo Nix, 18.8 to 17.6 projected PPR points.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB4 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Market-based projection
18.8 pts a game

QB9 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-5

Overall rank
72

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The gap

  • Board size303 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 64th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Caleb Williams's market-based projection is 18.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 9th highest figure of the 199 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 17.7 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 8 market sources. That is 90 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Bo Nix's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 96 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and thrown 6.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 18 of 111 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.

In Week 1 against CAR he completed 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 10 times for 65 yards.

In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and thrown 4.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 202 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 4 against SF he completed 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

In Week 5 against LAC he completed 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 10 yards.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Bo Nix 18.6, 0.5 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 that year and Bo Nix QB7.

Bo Nix had 44 more pass attempts than Caleb Williams, 612 to 568.

Caleb Williams had 11 more passing yards than Bo Nix, 3942 to 3931.

This season Bo Nix holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 96 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 10, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

Bo Nix has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Caleb Williams?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bo Nix, 18.8 to 17.6 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Bo Nix?

    No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bo Nix, 18.8 to 17.6 projected PPR points.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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