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Should I start Bo Nix or Kenny Gainwell in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 4:36 PM ET.

Start Bo Nix: his market-based projection is 9.7 points a game ahead of Kenny Gainwell's this season.

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Bo Nix?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 56 (6.2 a game over 9 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB14 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-5

Market-based projection
16.3 pts a game

RB31 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.6 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference9.7 points a game
  • Board size320 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Bo Nix's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Kenny Gainwell's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kenny Gainwell, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and thrown 4.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 202 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 4 against SF he completed 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

In Week 5 against LAC he completed 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 10 yards.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

Through Week 6, Kenny Gainwell has been on the field for 36 percent of TB snaps, taken 12 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 2.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against GB he carried 3 times for 5 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DAL he carried 4 times for 18 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PIT he carried 2 times for 17 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell played 17 games and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He carried 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 more yards.

That came to 6.7 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 4.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Kenny Gainwell 13.1, 5.5 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 and Kenny Gainwell RB16, which are two different ladders.

Bo Nix is a quarterback and Kenny Gainwell a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 10, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

9.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Bo Nix?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 56 (6.2 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Kenny Gainwell?

    No. Keep Bo Nix: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 56 (6.2 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Bo Nix?Should I drop Kenny Gainwell?

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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