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Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Bo Nix in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 4:51 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
16.4
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs QB
16.7
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
15.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB
16.6
13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Start Mahomes or Nix? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Patrick Mahomes over Bo Nix in Week 9: 16.4 to 15.6 PPR points a game over recent weeks.

Should I drop Bo Nix for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Bo Nix.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB17 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 4-3

Market-based projection
16.0 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
124

QB18 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 3-5

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
125

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 124th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Patrick Mahomes's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 254 times and thrown 5.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 41 of 254 dropbacks and scrambled 13 times.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.

In Week 8 against DEN he completed 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Through Week 8, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 268 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he completed 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 75 yards.

In Week 8 against KC he completed 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Bo Nix 18.6, 2.6 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 that year and Bo Nix QB7.

Bo Nix had 110 more pass attempts than Patrick Mahomes, 612 to 502.

Bo Nix had 344 more passing yards than Patrick Mahomes, 3931 to 3587.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Bo Nix in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Patrick Mahomes?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Bo Nix.

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Bo Nix?

    No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Bo Nix.

Should I drop Bo Nix?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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