Courtland Sutton or Brian Thomas Jr.: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Courtland Sutton at 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 106th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.9 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 127th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Courtland Sutton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 86.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 92.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Courtland Sutton has been on the field for 74 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 15 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 7.9 air yards.

In Week 1 against KC he caught 2 of 5 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against JAX he caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 45 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 9 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 1 against CLE he caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against DEN he caught 3 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Courtland Sutton played 17 games and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 7.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6.5 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Courtland Sutton scored 12.9 PPR points a game and Brian Thomas Jr. 9.9, 3.0 a game between them.

Courtland Sutton finished WR13 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.

Courtland Sutton had 33 more targets than Brian Thomas Jr., 124 to 91.

Courtland Sutton had 310 more receiving yards than Brian Thomas Jr., 1017 to 707.

This season Courtland Sutton holds the bigger snap share, 74 percent against 45 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Courtland Sutton is off in Week 10 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.