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Should I start Tim Patrick or Jalen Nailor in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 3:51 PM ET.

Start Tim Patrick: 82 percent of the snaps and 10 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jalen Nailor's 46 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR77 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 3-13

Market-based projection
4.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
200

WR79 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Market-based projection
5.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
202

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The gap

  • Board size310 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tim Patrick, and the board ranks him 200th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 202nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tim Patrick is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tim Patrick's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tim Patrick has been on the field for 82 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 14 third down targets and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 7.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 1 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 51 percent of LV snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 12.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 1 of 3 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against KC he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 1 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tim Patrick played 16 games and scored 51.7 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing WR107.

He caught 15 of 24 targets for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 1-2 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 31 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jalen Nailor scored 5.9 PPR points a game and Tim Patrick 3.2, 2.7 a game between them.

Tim Patrick finished WR107 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Jalen Nailor had 29 more targets than Tim Patrick, 53 to 24.

Jalen Nailor had 257 more receiving yards than Tim Patrick, 444 to 187.

This season Tim Patrick holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 51 percent.

This season Tim Patrick holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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