Pat Freiermuth or Brian Thomas Jr.: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Pat Freiermuth at 7.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 books. That is the 130th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 books. That is the 139th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Pat Freiermuth: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 148.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 117th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 91.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Pat Freiermuth has been on the field for 73 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 10 third down targets and seen 1 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 4.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against ATL he caught 5 of 5 targets for 46 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 35 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 2 third down targets and had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five.

His 3 targets have averaged 14.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against CLE he caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Pat Freiermuth played 17 games and scored 113.6 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing TE25.

He caught 41 of 54 targets for 486 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6.5 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Pat Freiermuth was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Pat Freiermuth 6.7, 3.2 a game between them.

Pat Freiermuth finished TE25 and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42, which are two different ladders.

Pat Freiermuth is a tight end and Brian Thomas Jr. a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Pat Freiermuth is off in Week 9 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.