Brian Thomas Jr. or Ryan Flournoy: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.9 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 109th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Ryan Flournoy at 7.8 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 128th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 92.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Ryan Flournoy: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 45 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 9 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 1 against CLE he caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against DEN he caught 3 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Ryan Flournoy has been on the field for 73 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 5 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 3.1 air yards.

In Week 1 against NYG he caught 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against WAS he caught 5 of 6 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6.5 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ryan Flournoy played 16 games and scored 114.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing WR57.

He caught 40 of 56 targets for 475 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.5 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ryan Flournoy was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Ryan Flournoy 7.1, 2.8 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 that year and Ryan Flournoy WR57.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 35 more targets than Ryan Flournoy, 91 to 56.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 232 more receiving yards than Ryan Flournoy, 707 to 475.

This season Ryan Flournoy holds the bigger snap share, 73 percent against 45 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Ryan Flournoy in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.0 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.