Should I start Cade Otton or Josh Downs in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Cade Otton's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 96th highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

Josh Downs's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 97th highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Cade Otton, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 89th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Cade Otton has been on the field for 95 percent of TB snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 6.2 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Cade Otton played 16 games and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 5.1 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 9.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Downs scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Cade Otton 7.6, 0.9 a game between them.

Cade Otton finished TE22 and Josh Downs WR44, which are two different ladders.

Cade Otton is a tight end and Josh Downs a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Cade Otton is off in Week 10 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.