Should I start Caleb Douglas or Josh Downs in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 181st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 97th highest figure of the 232 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 81 percent.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 19 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Josh Downs has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.