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Should I start Caleb Douglas or Makai Lemon in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 6:11 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

WR · PHI · vs NYG

Market projects
8.6
recent weeks avg
NYG D vs WR
31.3
15th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
74 of 100 at WR
Snap share
78%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · MIA · vs DET

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
DET D vs WR
37.7
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at WR
Snap share
82%
Through Week 8
Target share
19%
Through Week 8
Start Lemon or Douglas? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Makai Lemon: 91 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Caleb Douglas's 80 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR26 · MIA · bye 6

Market-based projection
9.3 pts a game

WR52 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
10.7 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
130

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Makai Lemon, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Makai Lemon is 2.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Makai Lemon's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Makai Lemon has been on the field for 78 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 78 third down targets, had 1 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 46 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have averaged 5.9 air yards.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 67 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against WAS he caught 6 of 9 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

Their last full seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Makai Lemon is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 78 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Makai Lemon in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Makai Lemon has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Makai Lemon?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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