Start Caleb Douglas or Makai Lemon? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Makai Lemon over Caleb Douglas in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Makai Lemon at 8.6 points and Caleb Douglas at 8.3, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Makai Lemon this week yet, so his 8.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (5.3, 10.0 and 10.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Makai Lemon at ADP 140 and Caleb Douglas at 215.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Makai Lemon yet. His market-based projections were 5.3, 10.0 and 10.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Caleb Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 39 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Makai Lemon 0.3 points ahead of Caleb Douglas on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Makai Lemon and PHI host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 127 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against NYG.

Caleb Douglas and MIA host DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Makai Lemon is not on the injury report.

Caleb Douglas is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Makai Lemon played 78 percent of PHI snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Makai Lemon, Week 5 against JAX: 50 of 62 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 43 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 6 against CAR: 52 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 7 against DAL: 60 of 62 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 67 yards, 1 touchdown.

Makai Lemon, Week 8 against WAS: 65 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 57 yards.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas played 82 percent of MIA snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 28 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Caleb Douglas, Week 1 against LV: 51 of 56 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 94 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 2 against SF: 51 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 7 against NYJ: 44 of 65 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Caleb Douglas, Week 8 against NE: 56 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Makai Lemon.
• Start Makai Lemon over Cooper Kupp.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Makai Lemon.
• Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Caleb Douglas.
• Start Caleb Douglas over Cooper Kupp.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Caleb Douglas.