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Should I start Caleb Douglas or Tez Johnson in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 6:11 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

WR · MIA · vs DET

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
DET D vs WR
37.7
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at WR
Snap share
82%
Through Week 8
Target share
19%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · TB · at CHI

Market projects
6.8
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs WR
30.5
16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
12 of 100 at WR
Snap share
39%
Through Week 8
Target share
7%
Through Week 8
Start Douglas or Johnson? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Caleb Douglas: 80 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tez Johnson's 46 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR26 · MIA · bye 6

Market-based projection
9.3 pts a game

WR · TB · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Overall rank
not on the board

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Our board does not carry Tez Johnson at all right now: live drafts have stopped taking him and there is no player market on him this week, so he has no rank, no tier and no ADP here.

The market-based projections

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Tez Johnson, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Tez Johnson has been on the field for 39 percent of TB snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 60 third down targets, had 0 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 19.6 air yards.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 2 of 3 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CAR he carried 1 time for 14 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 33 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against ATL he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Tez Johnson played 16 games and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 39 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6. No bye is listed for Tez Johnson.

What would change the answer

Tez Johnson has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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