Start Caleb Douglas or Tez Johnson? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Caleb Douglas over Tez Johnson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Caleb Douglas at 8.3 points and Tez Johnson at 6.8, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Tez Johnson this week yet, so his 6.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (6.6 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Caleb Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 39 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Tez Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 6.6 and 7.1 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 6.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tez Johnson is 0.2 touchdowns (9 market sources).

That puts Caleb Douglas 1.5 points ahead of Tez Johnson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Caleb Douglas and MIA host DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

Tez Johnson and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 30.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Douglas is not on the injury report.

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas played 82 percent of MIA snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 28 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Caleb Douglas, Week 1 against LV: 51 of 56 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 94 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 2 against SF: 51 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 7 against NYJ: 44 of 65 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Caleb Douglas, Week 8 against NE: 56 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Through Week 8, Tez Johnson played 39 percent of TB snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 7 against CAR: 41 of 63 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tez Johnson, Week 8 against ATL: 25 of 60 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Caleb Douglas.
• Start Caleb Douglas over Cooper Kupp.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Caleb Douglas.
• Start Tez Johnson over Adonai Mitchell.
• Start Tez Johnson over Cooper Kupp.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Tez Johnson.