Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

T.J. Hockenson's market-based projection is 10.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 81st highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 63rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 65 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 7.4 air yards.

In Week 5 against NO he caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

T.J. Hockenson is a tight end and Caleb Douglas a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 6, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

1.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.