Should I start Xavier Worthy or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Xavier Worthy's market-based projection is 9.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 92nd highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 8.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 107th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Xavier Worthy, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Xavier Worthy has been on the field for 84 percent of KC snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 2 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 41 targets have averaged 8.6 air yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he caught 7 of 7 targets for 73 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against SEA he caught 3 of 6 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 3 of 6 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Xavier Worthy played 14 games and scored 109.9 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR59.

He caught 42 of 73 targets for 532 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5.2 targets a game, a 58 percent catch rate and 12.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Xavier Worthy holds the bigger snap share, 84 percent against 82 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 19 percent each.

Byes and availability

Xavier Worthy is off in Week 5 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.