Should I start Caleb Williams or Darren Waller in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Caleb Williams's market-based projection is 17.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 9th highest figure of the 200 players with a market-based projection.

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 5.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 200 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 150 dropbacks and scrambled 14 times.

In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 7, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 23 targets have averaged 10.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Darren Waller 9.9, 9.3 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 and Darren Waller TE33, which are two different ladders.

Caleb Williams is a quarterback and Darren Waller a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Darren Waller in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

11.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.