Caleb Williams or Drake Maye: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Caleb Williams at 18.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 8th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Drake Maye at 18.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 9th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Caleb Williams: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 56th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 21.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Drake Maye: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 7.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 100 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 38 times and thrown 11.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 3 of 38 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 1 against CAR he completed 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 10 times for 65 yards.

Through Week 1, Drake Maye has been on the field for 100 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 42 times and thrown 6.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 6 of 42 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against SEA he completed 23 of 33 passes for 178 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions and ran 7 times for 47 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Drake Maye played 17 games and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He threw for 4394 yards on 492 attempts with 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

That came to 28.9 attempts a game at 8.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Drake Maye scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Caleb Williams 19.1, 2.0 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 that year and Drake Maye QB2.

Caleb Williams had 76 more pass attempts than Drake Maye, 568 to 492.

Drake Maye had 452 more passing yards than Caleb Williams, 4394 to 3942.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Drake Maye in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.