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Should I start Caleb Williams or Sam Darnold in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 11:41 AM ET.

Week 8 verdict

Start Caleb Williams over Sam Darnold

Williams projects lower, 17.2 to 17.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 87 for Williams, 155 for Darnold.

Start

QB · CHI · at SEA

Market projects
17.2
fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB
11.6
2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 7
Sit

QB · SEA · vs CHI

Market projects
17.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs QB
19.9
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
34 of 100 at QB
Snap share
89%
Through Week 7
Start Williams or Darnold? The full Week 8 breakdown

Start Caleb Williams over Sam Darnold in Week 8. Williams projects lower, 17.2 to 17.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 87 for Williams, 155 for Darnold.

Should I drop Sam Darnold for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 136 (15.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Caleb Williams over Sam Darnold.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB18 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Market-based projection
18.5 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
126

QB20 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
15.1 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
140

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The gap

  • Board size293 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 126th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Sam Darnold, and the board ranks him 140th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 26.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 1.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Sam Darnold is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Caleb Williams's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 150 dropbacks and scrambled 14 times.

In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 7, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 89 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 196 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 39 of 196 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 5 against SF he completed 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 6 against DEN he completed 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against KC he completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Sam Darnold 14.7, 4.5 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 that year and Sam Darnold QB13.

Caleb Williams had 91 more pass attempts than Sam Darnold, 568 to 477.

Sam Darnold had 106 more passing yards than Caleb Williams, 4048 to 3942.

This season Caleb Williams holds the bigger snap share, 97 percent against 89 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Sam Darnold in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Caleb Williams?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 136 (15.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Caleb Williams over Sam Darnold.

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Sam Darnold?

    No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 136 (15.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Caleb Williams over Sam Darnold.

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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