Should I start Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes in Week 9?
Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET. Week 10 answers post Tuesday.
Week 9 verdict
Start Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes

- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- TB D vs QB
- 13.1
- 4th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 8

- Market projects
- 16.4
- recent weeks avg
- NYJ D vs QB
- 18.1
- 16th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 8
Start Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes in Week 9: 18.0 to 16.4 PPR points a game over recent weeks.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes.
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB4 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 4-1
- Market-based projection
- 17.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 8
QB17 · KC · bye 5
2026 vs pass yds line 4-3
- Market-based projection
- 16.0 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 124
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The gap
- Board size297 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 124th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
No season market is posted for Caleb Williams, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.
The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
This season so far
Through Week 7, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 150 dropbacks and scrambled 14 times.
In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.
In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.
In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.
Through Week 8, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 254 times and thrown 5.8 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 41 of 254 dropbacks and scrambled 13 times.
In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.
In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.
In Week 8 against DEN he completed 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 6 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Caleb Williams was available for 3 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Caleb Williams 19.1, 2.1 a game between them.
Caleb Williams finished QB5 that year and Patrick Mahomes QB11.
Caleb Williams had 66 more pass attempts than Patrick Mahomes, 568 to 502.
Caleb Williams had 355 more passing yards than Patrick Mahomes, 3942 to 3587.
This season Patrick Mahomes holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 97 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Patrick Mahomes in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Caleb Williams?
Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes.
Both players in full
Week 9 on the board
- Is Caleb Williams playing Week 9?
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 9?
- Bears depth chart
- Chiefs depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings







