Terry McLaurin or Carnell Tate: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Terry McLaurin at 9.1 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 108th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Carnell Tate at 8.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 116th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Terry McLaurin: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 64.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Carnell Tate: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 94.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Terry McLaurin has been on the field for 79 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 18 third down targets, had 1 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 5 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 13.5 air yards.

In Week 1 against PHI he caught 2 of 4 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against DAL he caught 2 of 9 targets for 50 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 82 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 13 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 10.6 air yards.

In Week 1 against NYJ he caught 4 of 6 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against PHI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Terry McLaurin played 10 games and scored 114.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing WR56.

He caught 38 of 60 targets for 582 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 79 percent.

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger target share, 24 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Terry McLaurin is off in Week 7 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.