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Should I start Derrick Henry or Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 12:21 PM ET.

Start Derrick Henry: 51 percent of the snaps and 66 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 22 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB7 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 4-4

Market-based projection
13.4 pts a game

RB8 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 3-4

Overall rank
31

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 23rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Rodriguez Jr., and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 13.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 212 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 9.9 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 12 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 56 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been on the field for 22 percent of JAX snaps, taken 18 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 1 target have averaged 3.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he carried 6 times for 41 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He carried 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 more yards.

That came to 8.6 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 0.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 7.1, 9.4 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 that year and Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB51.

Derrick Henry had 195 more carries than Chris Rodriguez Jr., 307 to 112.

Derrick Henry had 12 more catches than Chris Rodriguez Jr., 15 to 3.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger snap share, 56 percent against 22 percent.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 71 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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