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Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 4:16 AM ET.

Start Tetairoa McMillan: 78 percent of the snaps and 26 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 22 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR10 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
14.3 pts a game

RB13 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 3-4

Overall rank
23

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Rodriguez Jr., and the board ranks him 23rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 14.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 14.0 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 3 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 65 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been on the field for 22 percent of JAX snaps, taken 18 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 1 target have averaged 3.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he carried 6 times for 41 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He carried 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 more yards.

That came to 8.6 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 0.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 4 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 7.1, 5.4 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB51, which are two different ladders.

Tetairoa McMillan is a wide receiver and Chris Rodriguez Jr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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