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Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Christian Watson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:21 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Deebo Samuel Sr.: Questionable to Out (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Christian Watson: 69 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 62 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Christian Watson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian Watson projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 7 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games). Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR21 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-2

Overall rank
63

WR23 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 5-4

Market-based projection
14.1 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
65

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 63rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 65th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 3.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Christian Watson has been on the field for 77 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 23 of the offence's 94 third down targets, had 3 of its 23 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 74 targets have averaged 14.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against DET he caught 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he caught 8 of 10 targets for 113 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NE he caught 7 of 8 targets for 171 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr. was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian Watson scored 13.2 PPR points a game and Deebo Samuel Sr. 11.8, 1.5 a game between them.

Deebo Samuel Sr. finished WR25 that year and Christian Watson WR46.

Deebo Samuel Sr. had 44 more targets than Christian Watson, 99 to 55.

Deebo Samuel Sr. had 116 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 727 to 611.

This season Christian Watson holds the bigger snap share, 77 percent against 57 percent.

This season Christian Watson holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Deebo Samuel Sr. is off in Week 8 and Christian Watson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Christian Watson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian Watson projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 7 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games). Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

  • Should I drop Christian Watson for Deebo Samuel Sr.?

    No. Keep Christian Watson: he projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 7 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games). Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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