Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 63rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 3.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 3.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 71 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Deebo Samuel Sr. 11.8, 0.7 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Deebo Samuel Sr. WR25.

Tetairoa McMillan had 23 more targets than Deebo Samuel Sr., 122 to 99.

Tetairoa McMillan had 287 more receiving yards than Deebo Samuel Sr., 1014 to 727.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 57 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out on the injury report.