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Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Josh Downs? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Deebo Samuel Sr.: Questionable to Out (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Josh Downs over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out, so Josh Downs starts despite the lower projection.

Start

Josh Downs

WR · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
9.8
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
25.4
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
45 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9
Sit

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · at DAL · Out

Market projects
10.4
fantasy pts
DAL D vs WR
35.6
7th most to WRs (2026)

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Josh Downs over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 10.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Josh Downs. Drafters take Josh Downs at ADP 96 and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 118.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.4 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Deebo Samuel Sr. is 0-1 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 10.9, 7.8 and 10.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.6 points ahead of Josh Downs on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

Josh Downs and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out with a hamstring injury.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Josh Downs played 81 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 7 against MIN: 52 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 8 against JAX: 46 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Josh Downs, Week 9 against DAL: 49 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games for WAS and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 36 of 44 snaps, 2 carries for 25 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 68 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 44 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 6.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Deebo Samuel Sr.?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board