C.J. Stroud or Daniel Jones: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price C.J. Stroud at 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Daniel Jones at 15.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 37th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on C.J. Stroud: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 76.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Daniel Jones: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 119th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 77.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 42 times and thrown 8.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 42 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against BUF he completed 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 15 yards.

Through Week 1, Daniel Jones has been on the field for 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 34 times and thrown 6.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 34 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against BAL he completed 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Daniel Jones played 13 games and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He threw for 3101 yards on 384 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 29.5 attempts a game at 8.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

C.J. Stroud was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Daniel Jones scored 18.0 PPR points a game and C.J. Stroud 15.5, 2.6 a game between them.

C.J. Stroud finished QB21 that year and Daniel Jones QB17.

C.J. Stroud had 39 more pass attempts than Daniel Jones, 423 to 384.

Daniel Jones had 60 more passing yards than C.J. Stroud, 3101 to 3041.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

C.J. Stroud is off in Week 8 and Daniel Jones in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.