Should I start Daniel Jones or Gardner Minshew II in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Daniel Jones's market-based projection is 15.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 5 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Gardner Minshew II's market-based projection is 9.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Daniel Jones, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 34.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Gardner Minshew II, and the board ranks him 211th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Daniel Jones has been on the field for 98 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 299 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 56 of 299 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 6 against TEN he completed 22 of 41 passes for 269 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 30 yards.

In Week 7 against MIN he completed 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 13 yards.

In Week 8 against JAX he completed 19 of 28 passes for 144 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 8, Gardner Minshew II has been on the field for 42 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 21 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 21 dropbacks.

In Week 8 against DAL he completed 17 of 20 passes for 188 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Daniel Jones played 13 games and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He threw for 3101 yards on 384 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 29-30 attempts a game at 8.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Gardner Minshew II played 4 games and scored 0.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing QB72.

He threw for 37 yards on 13 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for 2 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 3.3 attempts a game at 2.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Daniel Jones was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Daniel Jones scored 18.0 PPR points a game and Gardner Minshew II 0.2, 17.9 a game between them.

Daniel Jones finished QB17 that year and Gardner Minshew II QB72.

Daniel Jones had 371 more pass attempts than Gardner Minshew II, 384 to 13.

Daniel Jones had 3064 more passing yards than Gardner Minshew II, 3101 to 37.

This season Daniel Jones holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 42 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Daniel Jones is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Gardner Minshew II.

What would change the answer

5.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.