Start C.J. Stroud or Matthew Stafford? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 10:11 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud
Stafford projects lower, 15.9 to 17.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 75 for Stafford, 185 for Stroud.
- Market projects
- 15.9
- recent weeks avg
- ARI D vs QB
- 22.4
- 2nd most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 17.4
- recent weeks avg
- CLE D vs QB
- 14.8
- 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for C.J. Stroud?
Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 111 (15.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
Make this call for your own roster
Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.
Or get it by email
Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.
Free. One a week, one tap to stop.
Our Week 10 call
Start Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 15.9 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Matthew Stafford still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 75 against 185, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 15.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.5, 15.7 and 15.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 16.5, 15.7 and 15.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts C.J. Stroud 1.4 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.
Matthew Stafford and LAR visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.
Injury status
C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.
Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.
C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.
Through Week 9, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 360 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.
Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Matthew Stafford, Week 8 against LAC: 54 of 54 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
Matthew Stafford, Week 9 against WAS: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 42 passes for 228 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.
He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.
He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for C.J. Stroud?
Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 111 (15.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Matthew Stafford?
No. Keep C.J. Stroud: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 111 (15.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford?
Week 10 on the board
- Is C.J. Stroud playing Week 10?
- Is Matthew Stafford playing Week 10?
- Texans depth chart
- Rams depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings