Should I drop Cole Kmet for Justin Jefferson?

Not on these numbers alone. Cole Kmet projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.5 a game over 10 games) and Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Should I start Justin Jefferson or Cole Kmet in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 11:11 AM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Justin Jefferson: 67 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Cole Kmet's 64 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Cole Kmet?

Not on these numbers alone. Justin Jefferson projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.2 a game over 11 games) and Cole Kmet 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Justin Jefferson

WR37 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Overall rank: 92

Cole Kmet

TE13 · CHI · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection: 3.3 pts a game

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The gap

Board size300 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 92nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Cole Kmet, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Cole Kmet's market-based projection is 3.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 77th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

Justin Jefferson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Cole Kmet has been on the field for 63 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 0 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 6.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he caught 2 of 2 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 3 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Cole Kmet played 16 games and scored 78.7 PPR points, 4.9 a game, finishing TE36.

He caught 30 of 48 targets for 347 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 69 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Justin Jefferson scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Cole Kmet 4.9, 6.9 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 and Cole Kmet TE36, which are two different ladders.

Justin Jefferson is a wide receiver and Cole Kmet a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6. No bye is listed for Cole Kmet.

What would change the answer

Justin Jefferson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Cole Kmet?
Not on these numbers alone. Justin Jefferson projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.2 a game over 11 games) and Cole Kmet 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.
Should I drop Cole Kmet for Justin Jefferson?
Not on these numbers alone. Cole Kmet projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.5 a game over 10 games) and Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.