Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Courtland Sutton in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 9.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 91st highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Courtland Sutton's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 98th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Courtland Sutton, and the board ranks him 82nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 10.1 air yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Courtland Sutton has been on the field for 77 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 2 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 11.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against SEA he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ARI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Courtland Sutton played 17 games and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 7.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Courtland Sutton scored 12.9 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 2.4 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 and Courtland Sutton WR13, which are two different ladders.

Dalton Kincaid is a tight end and Courtland Sutton a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Dalton Kincaid is off in Week 7 and Courtland Sutton in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.