Josh Downs or Courtland Sutton: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Josh Downs at 10.0 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 90th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Courtland Sutton at 9.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 books. That is the 95th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Josh Downs: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 124.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Courtland Sutton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 77th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 84.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Josh Downs has been on the field for 89 percent of IND snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 9.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Courtland Sutton has been on the field for 76 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 8 third down targets and seen 1 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 8.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against KC he caught 2 of 5 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5.5 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Courtland Sutton played 17 games and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 7.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Courtland Sutton scored 12.9 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 4.4 a game between them.

Josh Downs finished WR44 that year and Courtland Sutton WR13.

Courtland Sutton had 36 more targets than Josh Downs, 124 to 88.

Courtland Sutton had 451 more receiving yards than Josh Downs, 1017 to 566.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 89 percent against 76 percent.

This season Courtland Sutton holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Josh Downs is off in Week 13 and Courtland Sutton in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.