Should I start Trevor Lawrence or Dalton Kincaid in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 9:11 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Trevor Lawrence: 94 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Dalton Kincaid's 66 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Dalton Kincaid 94 (11.7 a game over 8 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB15 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs pass yds line 4-4
- Market-based projection
- 17.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 104
TE16 · BUF · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 2-6
- Market-based projection
- 9.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 105
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The gap
- Board size306 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 104th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 105th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 2.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Trevor Lawrence's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and thrown 8.2 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 37 of 245 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.
In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.
In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.
In Week 9 against BAL he completed 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 9 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 32 two minute targets.
His 38 targets have averaged 9.4 air yards.
In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against MIN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 28 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.
He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.
That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.
He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.
That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Trevor Lawrence was available for 5 games more.
Side by side
In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 10.1 a game between them.
Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 and Dalton Kincaid TE20, which are two different ladders.
Trevor Lawrence is a quarterback and Dalton Kincaid a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.
Byes and availability
Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Dalton Kincaid 94 (11.7 a game over 8 games).
Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Dalton Kincaid?
No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Dalton Kincaid 94 (11.7 a game over 8 games).
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Trevor Lawrence playing Week 10?
- Is Dalton Kincaid playing Week 10?
- Jaguars depth chart
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- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
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