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Start Trevor Lawrence or Dak Prescott? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:36 AM ET.

Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs SF

Market projects
18.0
fantasy pts
SF D vs QB
15.7
9th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
67 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
19.4
9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Dak Prescott 128 (18.3 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.0 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.4, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (17.5 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Trevor Lawrence at 97.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 264 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 5, 4 and 5 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence yet. His market-based projections were 17.5 and 17.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Dak Prescott 0.6 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL host SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against SF, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 273 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TEN, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 368 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 74 of 74 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 9 against IND: 79 of 79 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 335 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 44 of 54 snaps, 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 9 against BAL: 56 of 56 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Dak Prescott 128 (18.3 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Dak Prescott?

    No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Dak Prescott 128 (18.3 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board