Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Xavier Hutchinson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 9.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Xavier Hutchinson's market-based projection is 6.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 3 market sources. That is the 96th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 74th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Xavier Hutchinson, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 38 targets have averaged 9.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against MIN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Xavier Hutchinson has been on the field for 58 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 3 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 51 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have averaged 11.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYG he carried 2 times for 12 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LAC he caught 3 of 5 targets for 29 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Xavier Hutchinson was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and Xavier Hutchinson 5.8, 4.7 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 and Xavier Hutchinson WR64, which are two different ladders.

Dalton Kincaid is a tight end and Xavier Hutchinson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Dalton Kincaid is off in Week 7 and Xavier Hutchinson in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.