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Should I start Jake Ferguson or Daniel Bellinger in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 9:16 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Jake Ferguson: Questionable to Out (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jake Ferguson: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Daniel Bellinger: 45 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 31 percent of the snaps and 3 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Daniel Bellinger for Jake Ferguson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.9 a game over 7 games), Daniel Bellinger 18 (2.2 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed out.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE33 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 3-6

Market-based projection
5.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
199

TE35 · TEN · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-8

Market-based projection
1.3 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size320 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 199th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Daniel Bellinger, and the board ranks him 212th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Daniel Bellinger's market-based projection is 1.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 188th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Jake Ferguson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 55 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 82 third down targets, had 1 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 55 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ARI he was not given the ball.

In Week 9 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Daniel Bellinger has been on the field for 43 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 67 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 4.2 air yards.

In Week 6 against IND he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CLE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CIN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Daniel Bellinger played 16 games and scored 59.6 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE46.

He caught 19 of 26 targets for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 1.6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 48 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Daniel Bellinger 3.7, 7.3 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Daniel Bellinger TE46.

Jake Ferguson had 76 more targets than Daniel Bellinger, 102 to 26.

Jake Ferguson had 314 more receiving yards than Daniel Bellinger, 600 to 286.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger snap share, 55 percent against 43 percent.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger target share, 8 percent against 6 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14. No bye is listed for Daniel Bellinger.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Jake Ferguson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Daniel Bellinger for Jake Ferguson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.9 a game over 7 games), Daniel Bellinger 18 (2.2 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Daniel Bellinger?

    No. Keep Jake Ferguson: he projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.9 a game over 7 games), Daniel Bellinger 18 (2.2 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed out.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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