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Start Jake Ferguson or Darren Waller? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Jake Ferguson: Questionable to Out (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jake Ferguson: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson

Start

Darren Waller

TE · CAR · at NO

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
NO D vs TE
16.4
8th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at TE
Snap share
49%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs SF · Out

Market projects
5.6
recent weeks avg
SF D vs TE
13.8
16th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
8%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Darren Waller for Jake Ferguson?

Not on these numbers alone. Darren Waller projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 8 games) and Jake Ferguson 53 (7.5 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed out.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson in Week 10.

Jake Ferguson is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Darren Waller.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Darren Waller yet. His market-based projections were 6.4, 6.0 and 4.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Jake Ferguson yet. His market-based projections were 6.1, 5.1 and 5.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Darren Waller 0.1 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Darren Waller and CAR visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 16.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 65 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NO.

Jake Ferguson and DAL host SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 57 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Darren Waller has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Darren Waller is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out with a knee injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Darren Waller played 49 percent of CAR snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Darren Waller, Week 6 against PHI: 36 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 7 against TB: 25 of 56 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 50 yards, 1 touchdown.

Darren Waller, Week 8 against GB: 45 of 73 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 9 against DEN: 35 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Jake Ferguson played 55 percent of DAL snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 7 against PHI: 38 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 8 against ARI: 4 of 74 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 9 against IND: 27 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Darren Waller played 9 games for MIA and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 210 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Darren Waller for Jake Ferguson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Darren Waller projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 8 games) and Jake Ferguson 53 (7.5 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Darren Waller?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 53 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 7 games) and Darren Waller 50 (6.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed out.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board