Matthew Stafford or Daniel Jones: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Matthew Stafford at 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 31st highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Daniel Jones at 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 37th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 17.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Daniel Jones: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 77.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 84 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 25 times and thrown 9.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 7 of 25 dropbacks.

In Week 1 against SF he completed 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

Through Week 1, Daniel Jones has been on the field for 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 34 times and thrown 6.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 34 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against BAL he completed 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Daniel Jones played 13 games and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He threw for 3101 yards on 384 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 29.5 attempts a game at 8.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Daniel Jones 18.0, 3.0 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 that year and Daniel Jones QB17.

Matthew Stafford had 213 more pass attempts than Daniel Jones, 597 to 384.

Matthew Stafford had 1606 more passing yards than Daniel Jones, 4707 to 3101.

This season Daniel Jones holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 84 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Matthew Stafford is off in Week 11 and Daniel Jones in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.