Should I start Darren Waller or Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 4.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 123rd highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 130th highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 139th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Mims Jr., and the board ranks him 145th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Darren Waller has been on the field for 48 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have averaged 9.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. has been on the field for 28 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 1.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he carried 2 times for 19 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 8.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr. was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Darren Waller scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Marvin Mims Jr. 6.2, 3.7 a game between them.

Darren Waller finished TE33 and Marvin Mims Jr. WR66, which are two different ladders.

Darren Waller is a tight end and Marvin Mims Jr. a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Darren Waller is off in Week 5 and Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.