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Start Jake Ferguson or Darren Waller? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Jake Ferguson: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jake Ferguson: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson

Start

Darren Waller

TE · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
6.3
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs TE
16.0
9th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
48%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at IND · Out

Market projects
6.3
recent weeks avg
IND D vs TE
13.7
13th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
66%
Through Week 7
Target share
9%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Darren Waller for Jake Ferguson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 8 games), Darren Waller 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Jake Ferguson is listed out.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson in Week 9.

Jake Ferguson is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Darren Waller.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Darren Waller yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 6.4 and 6.0 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jake Ferguson yet. His market-based projections were 7.6, 6.1 and 5.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Darren Waller 0.0 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Darren Waller and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 9th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 65 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against DEN.

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 13.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 45 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Darren Waller has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Darren Waller is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out with a ankle injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Darren Waller played 48 percent of CAR snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Darren Waller, Week 4 against DET: 40 of 75 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 6 against PHI: 36 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 7 against TB: 25 of 56 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 50 yards, 1 touchdown.

Darren Waller, Week 8 against GB: 45 of 73 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Through Week 7, Jake Ferguson played 66 percent of DAL snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 7 against PHI: 38 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Darren Waller played 9 games for MIA and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 210 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Darren Waller for Jake Ferguson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 8 games), Darren Waller 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Jake Ferguson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Darren Waller?

    No. Keep Jake Ferguson: he projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 8 games), Darren Waller 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Darren Waller over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed out.

Should I drop Darren Waller?Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board