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Should I start Darren Waller or Tyler Allgeier in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 4:41 PM ET.

Start Tyler Allgeier: 51 percent of the snaps and 37 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Darren Waller's 50 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Darren Waller?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Allgeier projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games) and Darren Waller 74 (6.7 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE22 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
6.2 pts a game

RB42 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
12.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
126

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The gap

  • Board size311 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 126th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 6.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 116th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 8.8 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 5 of 8 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 51 percent of ARI snaps, taken 34 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against NYG he carried 8 times for 42 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Darren Waller scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 2.6 a game between them.

Darren Waller finished TE33 and Tyler Allgeier RB39, which are two different ladders.

Darren Waller is a tight end and Tyler Allgeier a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Darren Waller is off in Week 5 and Tyler Allgeier in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Tyler Allgeier has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Darren Waller?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Allgeier projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games) and Darren Waller 74 (6.7 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

  • Should I drop Darren Waller for Tyler Allgeier?

    Not on these numbers alone. Darren Waller projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 11 games) and Tyler Allgeier 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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