Should I start David Montgomery or Kyler Murray in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 6:26 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

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Oct 21, 1:43 PM ET: Jawhar Jordan: Listed Out (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kyler Murray: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against David Montgomery's 42 percent of the snaps and 40 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop David Montgomery for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

David Montgomery

RB30 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 1-4

Overall rank: 90

Kyler Murray

QB13 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank: 91

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The gap

Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on David Montgomery, and the board ranks him 90th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 33.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for David Montgomery is 5.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 16.6 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

David Montgomery's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, taken 45 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 3 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 3.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against IND he carried 11 times for 33 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 10 times for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 5 times for 11 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 80 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 6.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 16 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 13 times.

In Week 3 against TB he completed 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 4 against MIA he completed 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 21 yards.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 David Montgomery played 17 games and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He carried 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

David Montgomery was available for 12 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Kyler Murray scored 16.2 PPR points a game and David Montgomery 9.8, 6.3 a game between them.

David Montgomery finished RB27 and Kyler Murray QB38, which are two different ladders.

David Montgomery is a running back and Kyler Murray a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

David Montgomery is off in Week 8 and Kyler Murray in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

David Montgomery is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

Should I drop David Montgomery for Kyler Murray?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed questionable.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for David Montgomery?
No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed questionable.