Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 10?

The market-based projections

T.J. Hockenson's market-based projection is 10.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s market-based projection is 9.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 77th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 67 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 75 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 7.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 4 of 7 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr. was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 11.8 PPR points a game and T.J. Hockenson 7.5, 4.2 a game between them.

T.J. Hockenson finished TE26 and Deebo Samuel Sr. WR25, which are two different ladders.

T.J. Hockenson is a tight end and Deebo Samuel Sr. a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

T.J. Hockenson is off in Week 6 and Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

T.J. Hockenson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.