Should I start DeMario Douglas or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 24, 9:41 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against DeMario Douglas's 51 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Michael Penix Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 135 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 9 games), DeMario Douglas 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

DeMario Douglas

WR43 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection: 8.9 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank: 106

Michael Penix Jr.

QB19 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Market-based projection: 15.1 pts a game

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The gap

Board size335 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeMario Douglas, and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 107th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for DeMario Douglas, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 41st highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, DeMario Douglas has been on the field for 54 percent of NE snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LV he caught 4 of 5 targets for 65 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 7 of 8 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against CHI he completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DeMario Douglas played 17 games and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 2.7 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

DeMario Douglas was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and DeMario Douglas 5.6, 8.1 a game between them.

DeMario Douglas finished WR65 and Michael Penix Jr. QB33, which are two different ladders.

DeMario Douglas is a wide receiver and Michael Penix Jr. a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

DeMario Douglas has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Michael Penix Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 135 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 9 games), DeMario Douglas 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games).
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for DeMario Douglas?
No. Keep Michael Penix Jr.: he projects 135 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 9 games), DeMario Douglas 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games).